U.S. Housing & Mortgage Outlook for 2026

The U.S. housing market is poised for a healthier, more active year in 2026, with major forecasters calling for lower mortgage rates, more home sales, and steady—not runaway—price growth.
A Market Turning the Corner
After several years of low inventory and higher borrowing costs, many economists see 2026 as a turning point rather than a repeat of the recent slowdown. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) projects that existing-home sales could rise by about 14% in 2026, helped by easing mortgage rates and solid job growth. At the same time, NAR expects nationwide home prices to increase around 4%, supported by strong demand and an ongoing shortage of homes for sale.

Mortgage Rates: Gradual Relief, Not a Freefall
Prospective buyers should not expect a return to the ultra-low rates of the pandemic era, but several respected forecasts see meaningful improvement ahead. Fannie Mae’s latest outlook, for example, calls for the average 30‑year fixed mortgage rate to drift down to roughly 5.9% by the end of 2026, after finishing 2025 closer to 6.4%. A separate review of forecasts from Zillow, Redfin, and Realtor. com finds a similar consensus, with many experts expecting rates to average in the low‑6% range in 2026, with occasional dips below 6%.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers
For buyers, even a modest move from the high‑6% range to around 6% or just under can improve affordability and widen the price range that fits comfortably into a monthly budget. Combined with the expected increase in listings as more owners feel confident about selling, this should create a more balanced, less frustrating experience than the ultra‑competitive markets of the recent past. Sellers, meanwhile, can take some comfort in forecasts that call for continued price growth—not a decline—provided homes are priced realistically and presented well.

Why 2026 Could Be a Planning Year, Not a Waiting Game
The most important takeaway from these forecasts is not to try to “time the bottom” in rates, but to plan around realistic scenarios and personal goals. Whether the average 30‑year fixed rate ends up closer to 6.3% or 5.9%, the broader trend points toward a more stable, predictable lending environment that can support confident long‑term decisions. Working with a knowledgeable mortgage professional can help buyers and homeowners compare options, run payment scenarios, and be ready to act quickly when the right home or rate opportunity appears in 2026.

Seller Credits And Buydowns: The Smart Way to Lower Upfront Costs

Buying a home isn’t only about the interest rate — it’s also about how you structure the deal. One of the most overlooked tools is negotiating credits that reduce your upfront costs or improve your monthly payment. When done right, this can make a home purchase feel a lot more comfortable without changing the home you want.
A common strategy is a seller credit, where the seller contributes money toward your closing costs (and sometimes prepaid items like taxes and insurance). Another option is an interest rate buydown, where funds are used to temporarily lower your rate for the first year or two (like a 2-1 buydown). These tools can be especially helpful if you want to preserve cash reserves after moving in.
The key is matching the strategy to your goals. If you’re short on cash for closing, credits may be the cleanest solution. If you expect your income to rise or you plan to refinance later, a temporary buydown can ease the early months of homeownership. Your loan officer can also help you compare “lower rate vs. more credit” options so you’re not leaving money on the table.
For more information, visit our website and schedule a consultation—we’ll help you run the numbers, explore creative ways to reduce upfront costs, and choose a loan setup that fits your budget and timeline.

5 Things Underwriters Look For That Most Buyers Never Think About

When most people apply for a mortgage, they assume approval is all about income, credit score, and down payment. While those are important, underwriters look at far more than just the basics. In fact, some of the biggest approval delays — or denials — come from details borrowers never realize matter.

Here are five things underwriters pay close attention to that often surprise buyers.

1. Consistency of Income — Not Just the Amount

It’s not only how much you earn, but how stable your income appears over time. Sudden changes in pay structure, recent job switches, bonuses, overtime, or commission income can all trigger extra scrutiny. Even higher income doesn’t always help if it lacks consistency.

Underwriters want to see a clear, predictable pattern that suggests your income will continue after closing.

2. Large or Unexplained Bank Deposits

Seeing a healthy bank balance is great — but large deposits without a clear source can raise questions. Underwriters must verify where funds come from to comply with lending regulations. Gifts, transfers, cash deposits, or recent sales of assets often require documentation.

When deposits aren’t explained upfront, approvals can slow down quickly.

3. Credit Behavior Right Before Closing

Many buyers know not to open new credit accounts, but fewer realize that even small changes — like financing furniture, co-signing a loan, or increasing credit card balances — can affect approval.

Underwriters review updated credit reports before closing, and last-minute changes can alter your debt-to-income ratio or credit profile.

4. Employment Gaps (Even Short Ones)

Short breaks between jobs may seem insignificant, but underwriters are trained to ask questions. Gaps in employment often require written explanations, especially if they occurred within the last two years.

Clear documentation helps underwriters confirm stability and move the file forward smoothly.

5. The Overall Story of Your File

Beyond numbers, underwriters look for a file that “makes sense.” They review how income, assets, credit, and employment fit together as a whole. When something feels inconsistent — even if technically allowable — it can lead to additional conditions or delays.

A clean, well-documented file tells a clear financial story and helps approvals happen faster.

Final Thoughts

Mortgage approval isn’t just a checklist — it’s an evaluation of financial patterns, stability, and documentation. Understanding what underwriters really look for helps buyers prepare smarter, avoid surprises, and close with confidence.

If you’re planning to buy or refinance, schedule a consultation with us on our website and we can see what makes the most sense for you.

What Actually Happens After You Apply for a Mortgage

Applying for a mortgage can feel overwhelming, but the process is more structured—and often faster—than many buyers expect. Once your application is submitted and documents are provided, the loan begins moving through a clear sequence of steps designed to keep everything on track toward closing.
In the first one to two weeks, your lender reviews your application, income, assets, and credit, and collects required documentation. During this time, employment and assets are verified, disclosures are issued, and the appraisal is ordered. Quick document uploads and prompt responses here can significantly reduce delays.
By weeks two to three, the appraisal is completed and underwriting takes a full look at your loan file. The underwriter may request a few final items or clarifications, which is very common. Responding quickly during this stage helps move the loan smoothly toward approval without losing momentum.
In the final week, conditions are cleared, final approval is issued, and closing documents are prepared. From there, it’s all about coordination so you can sign, fund, and get the keys. For more information and to better understand your personal mortgage timeline, please visit our website to schedule a consultation.